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Here is today's blog:- Be sure to check latest info on "How to Follow" page.
Monday May 20th 2019
My Market Watcher’s Notes.
Today started off this way and although things can change, I wanted to explain a point that I have noticed about our algorithms.
It happens more times than normal that when we have a Sell signal, the ETF will open at a higher level and proceed downwards sometime during the day.
This also occurs with Buy signals that open at a lower level and proceed upwards during the day.
We notice this more often than normal because of our concentration and emphasis on the next completed day. Look at the 4X chart above with today’s numbers at 2.2 + 1.7 + 1.9 = 5.8/3 = almost 2 wins for every loss.
Our algorithms look at tomorrow only and need to run every day after that. While they cannot be correct all the time, they do have a strong record of being correct on a day-to-day basis.
This unusual behavior can be disappointing if you spend a lot of time watching the markets early in the morning.
I know because I do it, but that is why we see this phenomenon and think it may be worth pointing out.
It stands to reason that when you look at history in all its forms, you are looking at completed days when history usually does not say what time of day it happened.
This is true for financial history as well as news items around the world in completely different time zones.
When markets open against me, I have adopted the attitude of waiting until the close to make me feel better.
I have also adopted the habit of looking for the turnaround during the day, or if not, that quick move in my direction during the last trading hour.
I have previously mentioned that I used to be a card-counter before they introduced those darned shuffling machines. The numbers game can also work for investors.
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